The year that I arrived here with my family. There just weren’t that many Gringos, or foreigners of any flavor really, in Costa Rica’s southern pacific zone. Many of the foreigners that were here shared a similar idea. Land was so cheap that you could buy several hectares (one hectare = 2.47 acres) of land, cut off a piece, and sell it for nearly what you put into the whole piece. I used to call this “The Costa Rican Formula”.
If you think back over any real estate cycle anywhere on planet earth, lets say San Francisco, or Denver, it started out withfamilies owning large tracts of essentially valueless land. Governments typically gave land away at this stage of the cycle. Homesteading laws had some rather liberal restrictions that, if followed, enabled a family to take possession of the large tract of land. These families then used the land to live on and sustain themselves.
Costa Rica real estate was in that part of the “the cycle” a surprisingly short while ago.
I say this to help establish the paradigm here. We are early in the cycle. The majority of my career has been selling raw, undeveloped land. To this day there isn’t a large selection of houses, but there are getting to be more all the time. We are simply heading into that phase of the cycle.
“The Costa Rican Formula” is the obvious way to develop and make money on land. Buy a larger piece, cut it into smaller pieces and sell them. It is so obvious in fact that it enjoys a very brief period of the real estate growth cycle.
For the purpose of this article, I’m not writing about big developers that buy and develop large parcels. I’m referring to your normal joe, back in the day, slopping into an 8-ish acre piece of land. Then, they find out that they can cut off 3 of those 8 acres and bahdah-bing bahdah-boom, they own their 5 remaining acres for free. (more…)
The crystal ball… standard equipment for psychics and investors, alike. Ben and I are constantly observing the trends and then peering into the future of our little Costa Rican real estate market.
The First Wave
Around 1995, the first wave of developers arrived to the area. These early mavericks (let’s call them environmental-preneurs) benefited from a combination of vision and cheap land. Development was easier back then. Buy a big farm and segregate it into smaller farms (or lots). As the news of cheap land and low costs for materials and labor trickled out to the world, there was a 10-12 year rush on land that led to spiking prices for ocean view home sites. At the beginning of 2007, there were no quality ocean view lots left under $100K, at least not any in developments with good infrastructure (roads, water and electricity). Well, it’s now 2010 and we suddenly have manyocean view propertiesthat can be purchased for under $100K. This quick “land in The Zone” recap is an attempt to set the table for the next trend I believe we experience, moving forward—Houses in The Zone.
Ben and I estimate over 60% of the people who inquire about property want to buy a house; however, over 60% of those house hunters end up buying raw land. There is a very obvious lack of supply in this economic equation, and the reason is we are simply at an early stage of the development cycle. According to CFIA (Colegio Federado de Ingenieros y de Arquitectos de Costa Rica), compared to 2007, the province of Puntarenas experienced decrease of -67% in total square meters constructed compared to the January–April of 2008.[1] Safe to say, the global economic downturn effected everyone investing in Costa Rica.
Gorgeous villa in San Buenaventura.
Yet toward the end of 2009 to present, we find ourselves busier than ever! We currently have 40 house listings on the coast (which means not including the mountain towns of Platanillo, Tinamastes, and the regional capital of San Isidro) ranging from $66,000 to $3.2 million. And, it’s no surprise that 90% of home buyers want an ocean view.
For those with construction experience and a desire to build houses in a foreign country, this where there may be money to be made. The crystal ball formula is– buy a cheap ocean view lot, no more than 10 minutes from the Costanera (our paved coastal highway), and build an affordable house with a swimming pool. The main question we anticipate from potential builders’ is “What kind of house do I need to build to guarantee a sale?” Unfortunately, we cannot provide a “guarantee” only guidance based on our personal, feet-on-the-ground perspective.
Price
The $weet $pot in our house market is between $200-250K. There are folks looking for houses on the coast in the $100K range, but they quickly realize those days are over. If you their budget is fixed at $100K, then we show houses up the mountain in towns like Platanillo and Tinamastes. We do have a couple of nice coastal properties with old tico houses on them for under $100K, but most of these are “tear downs” and re-building on these footprints is generally un-advisable.
Floorplan
Swimming pools sell property.
In this $250K price range, one effective floor plan is the 2&2 en suite (e.g., double master), central kitchen and small living area, and a large patio outside to enjoy the view. Most of the living experience in Costa Rica is done outside. Without question, one of the key rental amenities is the swimming pool.
IT doesn’t need to be huge, or have an infinity edge. But, it really helps a sale because it really helps rent-ability. Even thought there is a bathtub-warm ocean with miles of empty, gorgeous beaches just sitting there for people to enjoy, vacationing groups, couples, and especially families, love the pool.
I could offer a few more building suggestions, but I’ll leave those details to those with far more experience in spec building. What I do know is… Ben and I need houses, and I see them in our future. Thanks for reading.
[1] Indicadores CFIA de la Construcción. Costa Rica, Enero-Abril 2009
I’m going to go out on a limb here and define some specific points that we at Guys In The Zone use to evaluate a property. At the moment, this practice tends towards the black arts since the basis for land values in the zone went right off the cliff with the rest of the world’s economy.
Jesse over at Green Leaf Real Estate has come up with a rather interesting formula for property evaluation: take what was paid for the land and add 25% annually, and then reduce that number by 40% to get today’s market price. I find this technique to be ingenious, not so much for it’s accuracy, (that would be a subject of much debate), but due to the fact that Jesse actually came up with a method for evaluating land that sounds like it’ll put you somewhere in the ballpark.
The problem is, we’re not sure where the ballpark is these days.
Rod & I have been working more with the other real estate agencies in The Zone as we move towards a more cooperative real estate profession. John Wieland of Coldwell Banker invited us out to look at a couple of houses in Ojochal and we got to listen to how he addressed the question “what’s my house worth?”. He answered: “you can follow the market, be right at the market, or lead the market”. To “follow the market” would be to realize that others have dropped their price and so you follow suit. “Be at the market” would be to stay in the trajectory, up or down, that you feel the market is in. Now, to “lead the market” means that you anticipate the market and blaze a trail with new prices that are compelling to the type of buyers that we now are seeing here in the zone. In today’s “down” market, this means doing extraordinarily low pricing to get a timely sale. (more…)
In my previous article I considered the workings of the standard Costa Rica real estate model – the Open Listing.. If you haven’t read it (and would like to) you can by clicking here.
I have been a bit negative about exclusive listings in the past. My attitude towards these is now changing and, if anything, I’d say I’m a bit positive towards them now – with caveats.
The Exclusive Listing is a hybrid business model between the existing Costa Rica non-MLS model, and the Multiple Listing Service model that so many are accustomed to in the U.S., Canada, and elsewhere. I have recently learned that England does not have an MLS and, get this, that Mississippi doesn’t have an MLS. The point about England came from a reliable source. The one about Mississippi was chit-chat. I did a cursory study of the Mississippi matter on the internet and found a little bit of information but it’s still unconfirmed.
A Spot of Trivia
Realtors in England are called “Estate Agents” and the term “Real Estate Agent” is looked down upon. The non-MLS model has been used forever in the UK and they are quite settled with it, thank you very much. In a single yard of a house for sale you can see numerous signs to the various agencies that have the property listed. The typical commission paid to an Estate Agent in the UK is 1.5%
The exclusive listing attempts to provide buyer/seller representation in the Costa Rica market place.
The Way it Works
You approach your favorite real estate agent. You give that agent the listing for your property. That agent then takes the full responsibility of marketing your property so that it receives the broadest possible exposure. Sounds good right? Well, it is, but… (more…)